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La Liga
Referee: I Diaz
Getafe
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Valencia
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
32%
16%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
37%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
37%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,62 xG 0,89
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Getafe 15. · Valencia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 +33 +18.5 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 +26 +25.8 48
3 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 +18 +8.3 41
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 +17 +8.1 38
5 Espanol 20 10 4 6 +1 +5.0 34
6 Betis 20 8 8 4 +8 +6.2 32
7 Celta 19 7 8 4 +5 -0.8 29
8 Ath Bilbao 20 7 3 10 -9 +5.8 24
9 Girona 20 6 6 8 -14 -11.3 24
10 Elche 19 5 8 6 +1 -6.8 23
11 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 -3 -3.5 22
12 Vallecano 19 5 7 7 -6 +2.4 22
13 Sociedad 19 5 6 8 -3 +1.4 21
14 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 -6 -11.6 21
15 Getafe 19 6 3 10 -10 -7.0 21
16 Sevilla 19 6 2 11 -6 -11.2 20
17 Alaves 19 5 4 10 -8 -2.1 19
18 Valencia 19 3 8 8 -13 -2.6 17
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 -11 -9.0 14
20 Oviedo 20 2 7 11 -20 -15.6 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Valencia
-5′
🟥 Cristian Rivero
30′
🔁 B. Santamaria
↦ C. Tarrega
Half-time 0–0
Domingos Duarte 🟨
51′
61′
🔁 U. Sadiq
↦ H. Duro
61′
🔁 D. Lopez
↦ A. Danjuma
63′
🟨 Umar Sadiq
Adrian Liso 🟨
68′
Juanmi 🔁
↦ A. Liso
72′
81′
🟨 José Luis Gayà
84′
J. Gaya 0–1
F. Ugrinic
C. da Costa 🔁
↦ M. Martin
85′
A. Mestanza 🔁
↦ Javier Munoz
85′
86′
🟨 Filip Ugrinić
87′
🔁 Rubo
↦ L. Beltran
87′
🔁 J. Guerra
↦ F. Ugrinic
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 D. Soria G
21 J. Iglesias D
22 D. Duarte D
2 Djene D
16 D. Rico D
14 Javier Munoz M
8 M. Arambarri M
5 L. Milla M
23 A. Liso M
6 M. Martin F
10 M. Satriano F
Bench (11)
1 J. Letacek
18 Alex Sancris
44 A. Riquelme
12 A. Nyom
4 Y. Neyou
20 C. da Costa
7 Juanmi
41 J. Montes
45 A. Mestanza
37 Joselu
17 Kiko Femenia

Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

Valencia

4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski G
20 D. Foulquier D
5 C. Tarrega D
3 J. Copete D
14 J. Gaya D
11 L. Rioja M
23 F. Ugrinic M
18 Pepelu M
7 A. Danjuma M
15 L. Beltran F
9 H. Duro F
Bench (12)
6 U. Sadiq
21 J. Vazquez
16 D. Lopez
24 E. Comert
26 Rubo
10 A. Almeida
8 J. Guerra
17 L. Ramazani
32 A. Panach
28 V. Abril
13 C. Rivero
22 B. Santamaria

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U
2,77
B ✓
3,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,17
U2,5 ✓
1,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Diaz · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.