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Super League
Referee: S Zampalas
Larisa
U T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Aris Thessalonikis
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Super League · 18/16 matches
Win Ø 21%
11%
31%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
44%
31%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
26 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 14. · Aris Thessalonikis 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 18 13 4 1 +26 43
2 AEK 18 13 3 2 +16 42
3 PAOK 17 13 2 2 +24 41
4 Levadeiakos 17 9 5 3 +21 32
5 Panathinaikos 16 7 5 4 +7 26
6 Volos NFC 17 8 1 8 -4 25
7 Aris Thessalonikis 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aris 17 5 6 6 -4 21
9 Kifisia 18 4 7 7 -3 19
10 OFI Crete 16 6 0 10 -5 18
11 Panetolikos 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Asteras Tripolis 18 2 8 8 -9 14
13 Atromitos 17 3 4 10 -9 13
14 Larisa 18 2 7 9 -14 13
15 Panserraikos 18 2 3 13 -32 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Nov -25 Aris Thessalonikis – Larisa 2–1 26. Jan -21 Aris Thessalonikis – Larisa 1–0 2. Dec -20 Larisa – Aris Thessalonikis 0–3 11. Jan -20 Larisa – Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 28. Sep -19 Aris Thessalonikis – Larisa 2–3

Match report

Larisa Aris Thessalonikis
Nikolaos Melissas 🟨
-5′
1–0 A. Sagal ⚽
S. Mourgos
3′
Facundo Pérez 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Monchu
39′
🟨 Michalis Panagidis
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Misehouy
↦ M. Panagidis
Savvas Mourgos 🟨
47′
56′
🔁 O. Boussaid
↦ Dudu
56′
🔁 M. Hongla
↦ K. Galanopoulos
59′
🟨 Álvaro Tejero
L. Garate 🔁
↦ S. Mourgos
66′
66′
🔁 U. Racic
↦ C. Perez
67′
🔁 O. Morutan
↦ L. Moron
D. Olafsson 🔁
↦ A. Sagal
75′
Ahmed Lavrentis Ouattara Kossonou 🟨
77′
K. Apostolakis 🔁
↦ P. Deligiannidis
81′
Z. Chatzistravos 🔁
↦ L. Tupta
82′
90′
🟨 Noah Sonko Sundberg
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Larisa

3-4-3
94 A. Anagnostopoulos G
4 T. Iliadis D
6 E. Pantelakis D
14 E. Ferigra D
64 P. Deligiannidis M
8 F. Perez M
90 V. Sourlis M
12 A. Kossonou M
29 L. Tupta F
25 A. Sagal F
11 S. Mourgos F
Bench (10)
1 N. Melissas
2 K. Apostolakis
10 L. Andrada
17 D. Diminikos
18 Z. Chatzistravos
19 G. Pasas
20 D. Olafsson
21 T. Venetikidis
23 L. Garate
26 P. Staikos

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dioudis G
15 A. Tejero D
4 Fabiano D
20 N. Sonko Sundberg D
27 N. Fadiga D
6 K. Galanopoulos M
8 Monchu M
7 C. Perez M
77 M. Panagidis M
28 Dudu M
80 L. Moron F
Bench (12)
49 O. Boussaid
30 C. Kamtsis
26 G. Misehouy
78 M. Hongla
88 M. Kerkez
91 E. Karaj
33 G. Athanasiadis
25 M. Gning
10 U. Racic
11 A. Donis
18 O. Morutan
17 M. Frydek

Coach: Michalis Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.