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Super League

Referee: R Obrenovic

AEK

S S S U U

4–0

Full-time

Panathinaikos

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 18/16 matches

Win Ø 58%

72%

44%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

28%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

39%

63%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Panathinaikos 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	18	14	2	2	+27	44
2	Olympiakos	18	13	4	1	+26	43
3	AEK	18	13	3	2	+16	42
4	Levadeiakos	17	9	5	3	+21	32
5	Panathinaikos	16	7	5	4	+7	26
6	Volos NFC	17	8	1	8	-4	25
7	Aris Thessalonikis	17	5	6	6	-4	21
8	Aris	17	5	6	6	-4	21
9	Kifisia	18	4	7	7	-3	19
10	OFI Crete	17	6	0	11	-8	18
11	Panetolikos	17	5	3	9	-11	18
12	Larisa	19	3	7	9	-13	16
13	Asteras Tripolis	18	2	8	8	-9	14
14	Atromitos	17	3	4	10	-9	13
15	Panserraikos	18	2	3	13	-32	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	10	9	1	0	+18	28
2	Olympiakos	9	8	1	0	+18	25
3	AEK	9	8	0	1	+9	24
4	Levadeiakos	10	6	2	2	+17	20
5	Panathinaikos	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Volos NFC	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	OFI Crete	9	4	0	5	+6	12
8	Aris Thessalonikis	8	2	5	1	+1	11
9	Aris	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Larisa	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Kifisia	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Asteras Tripolis	8	1	5	2	+1	8
13	Panserraikos	9	2	1	6	-12	7
14	Panetolikos	8	2	0	6	-8	6
15	Atromitos	9	1	2	6	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	AEK	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	PAOK	8	5	1	2	+9	16
4	Levadeiakos	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Panetolikos	9	3	3	3	-3	12
6	Volos NFC	10	4	0	6	-5	12
7	Kifisia	9	2	4	3	-2	10
8	Aris Thessalonikis	9	3	1	5	-5	10
9	Aris	9	3	1	5	-5	10
10	Panathinaikos	8	2	3	3	+0	9
11	Atromitos	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	Larisa	9	1	3	5	-7	6
13	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	3	6	-10	6
14	OFI Crete	8	2	0	6	-14	6
15	Panserraikos	9	0	2	7	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.