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La Liga
Referee: R De Burgos
Sevilla
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Vallecano
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,19 xG 1,89
49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -26 Sevilla – Vallecano 1–1 28. Sep -25 Vallecano – Sevilla 0–1 1. Mar -25 Vallecano – Sevilla 1–1 24. Nov -24 Sevilla – Vallecano 1–0 5. Feb -24 Vallecano – Sevilla 1–2

Match report

Sevilla Vallecano
4′
⚽ A. Garcia 0–1
Isaac Romero ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
38′
Half-time 0–1
Peque 🔁
↦ N. Guilen
46′
R. Ure 🔁
↦ I. Romero
46′
Isaac Romero 🟨
48′
1–1 J. Guridi ⚽
52′
Jon Guridi 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 S. Camello
↦ I. Palazon
65′
🔁 Alemao
↦ R. Nteka
67′
🟨 Álvaro García
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ M. Sierra
70′
70′
🔁 F. Perez
↦ A. Garcia
75′
🟨 Unai López
76′
🟨 Fran Pérez
C. Ejuke 🔁
↦ Oso
78′
78′
🔁 P. Fernandez
↦ O. Valentin
78′
🔁 P. Diaz
↦ U. Lopez
Gabriel Suazo 🟨
81′
M. Bueno 🔁
↦ J. Guridi
82′
Kike Salas 🟥
88′
2–1 Peque ⚽
90′
Lucien Agoumé 🟨
102′
102′
🟨 Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 O. Vlachodimos G
2 J. Iglesias D
12 A. Sangante D
4 K. Salas D
17 G. Suazo D
6 L. Agoume M
27 N. Guilen
30 M. Sierra M
18 J. Guridi M
19 Oso M
16 I. Romero F
Bench (12)
13 Fran
22 J. A. Carmona
5 Castrin
34 I. Munoz
3 J. Diaz
11 R. Vargas
28 M. Bueno
39 E. Altozano
21 C. Ejuke
37 I. Sow
10 Peque
9 R. Ure

Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
6 P. Ciss D
20 I. Balliu D
8 U. Lopez M
23 O. Valentin M
19 J. de Frutos M
7 I. Palazon M
18 A. Garcia M
11 R. Nteka F
Bench (11)
1 D. Cardenas
33 J. Vertrouwd
22 P. Fernandez
26 M. de las Sias
27 S. Lozano
4 P. Diaz
34 I. Alonso Martin
31 M. Roman
9 Alemao
10 S. Camello
21 F. Perez

Coach: Benat San Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
🔒
U
3,17
🔒
B
3,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,24
🔒
U2,5
1,61
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R De Burgos · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.