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Serie A

Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua

Cagliari

S U T U T

2–0

Full-time

Bologna

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

14%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

14%

29%

Both score Ø 22%

29%

14%

Average goals

1,9

1,7

Scored

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 17. · Bologna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	Fiorentina	7	4	1	2	+9	13
4	Inter	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Sassuolo	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Lazio	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Genoa	6	4	0	2	+0	12
8	Torino	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Sampdoria	7	3	2	2	+7	11
10	Roma	7	3	2	2	+4	11
11	Parma	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Milan	6	2	3	1	+3	9
13	Spal	7	3	0	4	-3	9
14	Udinese	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	Bologna	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Atalanta	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cagliari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Empoli	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Chievo	7	0	2	5	-11	2
20	Frosinone	8	0	1	7	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Roma	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Parma	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Inter	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Bologna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
15	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Torino	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Napoli	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Milan	4	1	2	1	+2	5
7	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Genoa	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Spal	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Atalanta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Empoli	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.