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Serie A

Referee: Claudio Gavillucci

Inter

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Spal

U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

19 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 2. · Spal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Spal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Atalanta	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.