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Serie A
Referee: A Giua
Benevento
S U U T U
2–0
Full-time
Genoa
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
25%
8%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 14. · Genoa 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 12 8 4 0 +14 28
2 Inter 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 Napoli 11 8 0 3 +17 24
4 Juventus 12 6 6 0 +15 24
5 Roma 12 7 3 2 +10 24
6 Sassuolo 12 6 5 1 +9 23
7 Verona 13 5 5 3 +5 20
8 Atalanta 11 5 3 3 +5 18
9 Lazio 12 5 3 4 -2 18
10 Sampdoria 13 5 2 6 +0 17
11 Udinese 11 4 2 5 -1 14
12 Bologna 13 4 2 7 -6 14
13 Cagliari 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Benevento 12 3 3 6 -10 12
15 Parma 13 2 6 5 -11 12
16 Spezia 12 2 5 5 -8 11
17 Fiorentina 13 2 5 6 -8 11
18 Torino 13 1 4 8 -10 7
19 Genoa 12 1 4 7 -12 7
20 Crotone 13 1 3 9 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Genoa
13′
🟨 Mattia Bani
Gianluca Caprari 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Insigne ⚽
P. Hetemaj
57′
58′
🔁 D. Criscito
↦ L. Czyborra
58′
🔁 G. Pandev
↦ E. Shomurodov
58′
🔁 I. Radovanović
↦ S. Sturaro
67′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
72′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ M. Destro
A. Tello 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
74′
75′
🔁 D. Zappacosta
↦ E. Goldaniga
G. Di Serio 🔁
↦ G. Lapadula
79′
M. Sau 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
79′
D. Foulon 🔁
↦ A. Tuia
80′
88′
🟨 Andrea Masiello
2–0 M. Sau ⚽
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Benevento

4-3-2-1
1 L. Montipò G
13 A. Tuia D
15 K. Glik D
3 G. Letizia D
93 F. Barba D
56 P. Hetemaj M
29 A. Ioniţă M
9 G. Lapadula F
17 G. Caprari M
16 R. Improta M
19 R. Insigne M
Bench (12)
8 A. Tello
20 G. Di Serio
25 M. Sau
18 D. Foulon
4 L. Del Pinto
14 B. Dabo
58 C. Pastina
44 Iago Falqué
21 G. Moncini
10 N. Viola
22 I. Lucatelli
12 N. Manfredini

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Genoa

4-4-2
1 M. Perin G
55 A. Masiello D
13 M. Bani D
5 E. Goldaniga D
18 P. Ghiglione M
99 L. Czyborra D
27 S. Sturaro M
8 L. Lerager M
23 M. Destro F
37 M. Pjaca M
61 E. Shomurodov F
Bench (12)
4 D. Criscito
19 G. Pandev
21 I. Radovanović
9 G. Scamacca
77 D. Zappacosta
24 F. Melegoni
38 L. Zima
11 V. Behrami
65 N. Rovella
47 M. Badelj
32 A. Paleari
16 M. Zajc

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
3,37
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.