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Serie A
Referee: A Giua
Lazio
S T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Spezia
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 41%
56%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 64%
63%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
7 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 7. · Spezia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 27 20 5 2 +39 65
2 Milan 29 18 6 5 +20 60
3 Atalanta 28 16 7 5 +31 55
4 Juventus 27 16 7 4 +31 55
5 Napoli 27 17 2 8 +29 53
6 Roma 28 15 5 8 +9 50
7 Lazio 27 15 4 8 +6 49
8 Sassuolo 27 10 9 8 +1 39
9 Verona 28 10 8 10 +2 38
10 Sampdoria 29 10 6 13 -4 36
11 Bologna 28 9 7 12 -5 34
12 Udinese 28 8 9 11 -6 33
13 Genoa 28 7 10 11 -10 31
14 Fiorentina 28 7 8 13 -10 29
15 Spezia 28 7 8 13 -15 29
16 Benevento 28 7 8 13 -24 29
17 Torino 27 4 11 12 -11 23
18 Cagliari 28 5 7 16 -17 22
19 Parma 28 3 10 15 -28 19
20 Crotone 28 4 3 21 -38 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -20 Spezia – Lazio 1–2

Match report

Lazio Spezia
20′
🟨 Julian Chabot
Andreas Pereira 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Luis Alberto 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
52′
M. Fares 🔁
↦ S. Lulić
52′
1–0 M. Lazzari
J. Correa
56′
65′
🔁 L. Agoume
↦ G. Maggiore
65′
🔁 R. Marchizza
↦ S. Bastoni
70′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ Diego Farias
70′
🔁 K. Agudelo
↦ Léo Sena
71′
🔁 M'Bala Nzola
↦ R. Piccoli
J. Akpa Akpro 🔁
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
72′
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
73′
73′
D. Verde 1–1
E. Gyasi
Joaquín Correa 🟨
77′
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ Lucas Leiva
77′
Danilo Cataldi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
87′
2–1 F. Caicedo
89′
Joaquín Correa 🟨
90′
Joaquín Correa 🟥
90′
Manuel Lazzari 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Kevin Agudelo
90′
🟨 M'Bala Nzola
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
25 Pepe Reina G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
77 A. Marušić D
6 Lucas Leiva M
19 S. Lulić M
11 J. Correa F
29 M. Lazzari M
7 Andreas Pereira M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
10 Luis Alberto
96 M. Fares
92 J. Akpa Akpro
20 F. Caicedo
32 D. Cataldi
16 M. Parolo
94 V. Muriqi
37 M. Musacchio
1 T. Strakosha
14 W. Hoedt
71 M. Alia
18 G. Escalante

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Spezia

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
20 S. Bastoni D
28 M. Erlić D
22 J. Chabot D
21 Salvador Ferrer D
8 M. Ricci M
88 Léo Sena M
25 G. Maggiore M
17 Diego Farias F
11 E. Gyasi F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
10 L. Agoume
5 R. Marchizza
31 D. Verde
80 K. Agudelo
18 M'Bala Nzola
9 A. Galabinov
69 L. Vignali
26 T. Pobega
13 E. Capradossi
94 I. Provedel
34 A. Ismajli
19 C. Terzi

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,58
B
7,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.