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Premier League
Referee: G Scott
Leeds
S T T U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,2
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
This season — Premier League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
41%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 43%
48%
38%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,6
0,6
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 11. · Sheffield United 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 30 22 5 3 +43 71
2 Man United 29 16 9 4 +24 57
3 Leicester 29 17 5 7 +21 56
4 Chelsea 30 14 9 7 +16 51
5 West Ham 29 14 7 8 +10 49
6 Tottenham 29 14 6 9 +19 48
7 Liverpool 29 13 7 9 +12 46
8 Everton 28 14 4 10 +3 46
9 Arsenal 29 12 6 11 +8 42
10 Aston Villa 28 12 5 11 +9 41
11 Leeds 29 12 3 14 -2 39
12 Crystal Palace 29 10 7 12 -16 37
13 Wolves 29 9 8 12 -10 35
14 Southampton 29 9 6 14 -15 33
15 Burnley 29 8 9 12 -15 33
16 Brighton 29 7 11 11 -4 32
17 Newcastle 29 7 7 15 -20 28
18 Fulham 30 5 11 14 -15 26
19 West Brom 30 4 9 17 -34 21
20 Sheffield United 29 4 2 23 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Sheffield United
4′
🟨 John Lundstram
1–0 J. Harrison
Raphinha
12′
43′
🟨 David McGoldrick
45′
🔁 E. Ampadu
↦ G. Baldock
Half-time 1–1
47′
B. Osborn 1–1
1–2 P. Jagielka
own goal
49′
Rodrigo 🔁
↦ P. Bamford
65′
65′
🔁 O. Burke
↦ O. Norwood
73′
🔁 R. Brewster
↦ J. Bogle
77′
🔁 J. Egan
↦ O. McBurnie
M. Klich 🔁
↦ T. Roberts
81′
Rodrigo 🟨
85′
R. Koch 🔁
↦ S. Dallas
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 I. Meslier G
6 L. Cooper D
2 L. Ayling D
15 S. Dallas M
14 Llorente D
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
10 E. Alioski D
9 P. Bamford F
11 T. Roberts M
18 Raphinha M
Bench (9)
20 Rodrigo
43 M. Klich
5 R. Koch
13 Kiko Casilla
7 I. Poveda-Ocampo
19 Pablo Hernández
46 J. Shackleton
21 P. Struijk
17 Hélder Costa

Coach: M. Bielsa

Sheffield United

3-5-2
1 A. Ramsdale G
15 P. Jagielka D
3 E. Stevens D
2 G. Baldock D
20 J. Bogle M
4 J. Fleck M
16 O. Norwood M
7 J. Lundstram M
23 B. Osborn M
17 D. McGoldrick F
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (9)
22 E. Ampadu
14 O. Burke
24 R. Brewster
12 J. Egan
18 W. Foderingham
11 L. Mousset
29 K. Bryan
34 I. Ndiaye
13 M. Lowe

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,40
B
6,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Scott · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.