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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
Twente
U U U T U
1–2
Full-time
Vitesse
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
59%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
2 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
26 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 8. · Vitesse 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 26 21 3 2 +64 66
2 PSV Eindhoven 27 16 7 4 +29 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 27 16 7 4 +25 55
4 Vitesse 27 16 4 7 +17 52
5 Feyenoord 25 13 7 5 +26 46
6 Groningen 27 13 6 8 +4 45
7 Utrecht 24 10 8 6 +7 38
8 Twente 27 9 10 8 +4 37
9 Heracles 27 10 6 11 -9 36
10 Heerenveen 27 8 10 9 -2 34
11 For Sittard 27 10 4 13 -8 34
12 Sparta Rotterdam 26 8 6 12 -5 30
13 Zwolle 27 6 11 10 -8 29
14 Waalwijk 27 6 8 13 -14 26
15 Willem II 27 5 7 15 -25 22
16 VVV Venlo 28 6 4 18 -34 22
17 FC Emmen 27 2 9 16 -32 15
18 Den Haag 27 2 9 16 -39 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Vitesse
Dario Đumić 🟨
4′
1–0 Danilo
20′
44′
O. Tannane 1–1
Half-time 1–1
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
46′
T. van Leeuwen 🔁
↦ Q. Menig
71′
I. Abass 🔁
↦ L. Ilić
79′
85′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ L. Openda
Godfried Roemeratoe 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Armando Broja
C. Staring 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
94′
95′
O. Tannane 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
43 D. Dumić D
23 T. Ebuehi D
15 K. Pierie D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
8 L. Ilić M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
25 L. Narsingh F
11 Q. Menig F
9 Danilo F
Bench (10)
20 G. Roemeratoe
37 T. van Leeuwen
10 I. Abass
40 C. Staring
39 D. Rots
5 G. Smal
38 M. Bruns
30 E. van der Gouw
22 J. de Lange
24 N. Markelo

Coach: R. Jans

Vitesse

5-3-2
24 J. Houwen G
2 E. Dasa D
32 M. Wittek D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
14 O. Tannane M
7 L. Openda F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (8)
36 P. Vroegh
16 A. Oroz
23 B. Bayazit
40 D. Huisman
18 T. Hájek
17 H. Gong
20 T. Bruns
9 O. Darfalou

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
3,40
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.