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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Lausanne
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Luzern
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Super League · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
36%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
56%
73%
Both score Ø 63%
44%
81%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
5 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 5. · Luzern 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 25 15 9 1 +25 54
2 Servette 26 10 7 9 -2 37
3 Lugano 26 8 12 6 +3 36
4 Basel 26 10 6 10 +1 36
5 Lausanne 25 9 7 9 +3 34
6 Zurich 26 9 6 11 -2 33
7 Luzern 26 8 8 10 +2 32
8 St. Gallen 26 8 8 10 -2 32
9 Sion 26 5 11 10 -10 26
10 Vaduz 26 6 8 12 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Luzern
Moritz Jenz 🟨
19′
Mory Diaw 🟨
30′
1–0 L. Da Cunha
N. Loosli
31′
37′
🟨 Samuel Alabi
2–0 L. Da Cunha
T. Suzuki
40′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🔁 Y. Alounga
↦ S. Borkai
56′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ V. Tasar
71′
I. Ndiaye 2–1
L. Schaub
72′
🔁 C. Schwegler
↦ S. Grether
72′
🔁 J. Wehrmann
↦ L. Emini
B. Ouattara 🔁
↦ H. Mahou
73′
G. Bares 🔁
↦ L. Da Cunha
73′
J. Bolingi 🔁
↦ E. Guessand
78′
M. Nanizayamo 🔁
↦ T. Suzuki
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lausanne

3-4-1-2
40 M. Diaw G
13 P. Flo D
25 N. Boranijašević M
5 N. Loosli D
4 M. Jenz D
7 S. Kukuruzović M
20 H. Mahou F
28 T. Suzuki M
21 Cameron Puertas M
10 L. Da Cunha F
9 E. Guessand F
Bench (7)
11 B. Ouattara
66 G. Bares
12 J. Bolingi
37 M. Nanizayamo
1 T. Castella
17 R. Zekhnini
22 M. Tsoungui

Coach: G. Contini

Luzern

4-4-1-1
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
4 S. Knežević D
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub F
13 M. Frýdek D
16 V. Tasar M
19 F. Ugrinic M
23 S. Borkai M
31 L. Emini M
Bench (7)
22 Y. Alounga
7 I. Ndiaye
27 C. Schwegler
3 J. Wehrmann
5 Lucas
1 D. Zibung
14 Álex Carbonell

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.