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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

T T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 32%

30%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

27%

37%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

43%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Ajaccio 15. · Valenciennes 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	31	17	7	7	+26	58
2	Troyes	30	17	7	6	+15	58
3	Clermont	29	16	7	6	+30	55
4	Grenoble	30	15	8	7	+14	53
5	Paris FC	30	14	9	7	+11	51
6	Auxerre	30	12	11	7	+17	47
7	Sochaux	30	11	13	6	+14	46
8	Nancy	31	10	10	11	+1	40
9	Valenciennes	30	10	10	10	-3	40
10	Amiens	29	9	10	10	-1	37
11	Rodez	30	8	13	9	-4	37
12	Le Havre	30	9	10	11	-10	37
13	Niort	30	9	10	11	-12	37
14	Caen	30	8	11	11	-9	35
15	Ajaccio	30	9	8	13	-13	35
16	Pau FC	30	8	7	15	-11	31
17	Dunkerque	30	8	7	15	-12	31
18	Guingamp	30	5	15	10	-10	30
19	Chambly	30	6	9	15	-23	27
20	Chateauroux	30	4	8	18	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	16	11	3	2	+22	36
2	Troyes	15	11	3	1	+11	36
3	Clermont	14	10	3	1	+22	33
4	Grenoble	14	9	5	0	+17	32
5	Paris FC	15	9	4	2	+9	31
6	Auxerre	15	8	4	3	+18	28
7	Valenciennes	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Rodez	15	6	5	4	+3	23
9	Niort	15	6	5	4	+1	23
10	Amiens	15	5	7	3	+3	22
11	Pau FC	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Ajaccio	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Sochaux	15	5	6	4	+3	21
14	Nancy	15	5	6	4	+0	21
15	Caen	15	5	6	4	-3	21
16	Dunkerque	15	5	5	5	+3	20
17	Chambly	16	5	2	9	-9	17
18	Le Havre	15	3	7	5	-5	16
19	Guingamp	15	2	8	5	-7	14
20	Chateauroux	15	3	3	9	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	15	6	7	2	+11	25
2	Clermont	15	6	4	5	+8	22
3	Toulouse	15	6	4	5	+4	22
4	Troyes	15	6	4	5	+4	22
5	Grenoble	16	6	3	7	-3	21
6	Le Havre	15	6	3	6	-5	21
7	Paris FC	15	5	5	5	+2	20
8	Nancy	16	5	4	7	+1	19
9	Auxerre	15	4	7	4	-1	19
10	Valenciennes	15	4	5	6	-6	17
11	Guingamp	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Amiens	14	4	3	7	-4	15
13	Caen	15	3	5	7	-6	14
14	Rodez	15	2	8	5	-7	14
15	Niort	15	3	5	7	-13	14
16	Ajaccio	15	3	4	8	-11	13
17	Dunkerque	15	3	2	10	-15	11
18	Chambly	14	1	7	6	-14	10
19	Pau FC	15	2	3	10	-13	9
20	Chateauroux	15	1	5	9	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.