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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Wolfsburg
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
FC Koln
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
54%
19%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 3. · FC Koln 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 4 3 +43 61
2 RB Leipzig 26 17 6 3 +27 57
3 Wolfsburg 26 14 9 3 +23 51
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 12 11 3 +17 47
5 Dortmund 26 13 4 9 +17 43
6 Leverkusen 26 11 7 8 +12 40
7 Union Berlin 26 9 11 6 +8 38
8 Freiburg 26 10 7 9 +0 37
9 Stuttgart 26 9 9 8 +6 36
10 M'gladbach 26 9 9 8 +4 36
11 Hoffenheim 26 8 6 12 -5 30
12 Werder Bremen 26 7 9 10 -7 30
13 Augsburg 26 8 5 13 -13 29
14 Hertha 26 6 6 14 -14 24
15 Mainz 26 6 6 14 -19 24
16 FC Koln 26 5 8 13 -21 23
17 Bielefeld 26 6 4 16 -25 22
18 Schalke 04 26 1 7 18 -53 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg FC Koln
Kevin Mbabu 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
62′
Yannick Gerhardt 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 E. Rexhbecaj
↦ D. Drexler
1–0 J. Brekalo
W. Weghorst
69′
João Victor 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
73′
75′
🔁 F. Kainz
↦ N. Katterbach
75′
🔁 S. Andersson
↦ J. Hector
81′
🔁 E. Dennis
↦ M. Wolf
81′
🔁 M. Meyer
↦ O. Duda
90′
🟨 Florian Kainz
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
19 K. Mbabu D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
17 M. Philipp
40 João Victor
23 J. Guilavogui
12 P. Pervan
21 B. Białek
34 M. Pongracic
5 J. Bruma
33 D. Ginczek
39 T. Siersleben

Coach: O. Glasner

FC Koln

4-1-4-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
22 Jorge Meré D
19 K. Ehizibue D
8 I. Jakobs M
3 N. Katterbach D
24 D. Drexler M
14 J. Hector M
18 O. Duda F
31 M. Wolf M
28 E. Skhiri M
Bench (9)
20 E. Rexhbecaj
11 F. Kainz
9 S. Andersson
43 E. Dennis
13 M. Meyer
23 J. Horn
2 B. Schmitz
16 R. Zieler
21 S. Özcan

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,20
B
6,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.