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Ekstraklasa
Cracovia
U T U U T
2–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
32%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 13. · Lech Poznan 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 23 16 3 4 +21 51
2 Pogon Szczecin 23 12 5 6 +11 41
3 Rakow 22 10 7 5 +10 37
4 Piast Gliwice 23 9 7 7 +6 34
5 Lechia Gdansk 22 10 3 9 +4 33
6 Gornik Zabrze 22 9 5 8 +3 32
7 Slask Wroclaw 22 8 6 8 +3 30
8 Lech Poznan 22 7 8 7 +2 29
9 Warta Poznan 22 9 2 11 -1 29
10 Zaglebie 22 8 5 9 -2 29
11 Wisla 22 7 7 8 +4 28
12 Jagiellonia 22 8 4 10 -6 28
13 Cracovia 22 5 10 7 -5 25
14 Wisla Plock 23 6 7 10 -8 25
15 Stal Mielec 22 4 7 11 -15 19
16 Podbeskidzie 22 4 6 12 -27 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.