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Serie A

Referee: V Marini

Atalanta

S S T S U

1–2

Full-time

Fiorentina

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 9. · Fiorentina 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.