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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Inter
T S S S U
6–1
Full-time
Bologna
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 5. · Bologna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Roma 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Milan 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 Fiorentina 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Inter 3 2 1 0 +6 7
6 Udinese 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Bologna 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Lazio 3 2 0 1 +5 6
9 Torino 4 2 0 2 +3 6
10 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Sassuolo 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Empoli 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Venezia 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Genoa 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Sampdoria 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Spezia 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Verona 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Salernitana 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Bologna
1–0 Lautaro Martínez
D. Dumfries
6′
23′
🟨 Lorenzo De Silvestri
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ J. Correa
29′
2–0 M. Škriniar
F. Dimarco
30′
3–0 N. Barella
34′
36′
🟨 Aaron Hickey
Half-time 4–0
4–0 M. Vecino
54′
55′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ M. Svanberg
55′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ N. Sansone
55′
🔁 M. Dijks
↦ A. Hickey
5–0 E. Džeko
M. Brozović
62′
A. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
67′
A. Ranocchia 🔁
↦ S. de Vrij
67′
6–0 E. Džeko
68′
69′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ N. Domínguez
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ M. Brozović
74′
A. Kolarov 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
74′
74′
🔁 A. Theate
↦ L. De Silvestri
83′
🟨 Mitchell Dijks
86′
A. Theate 6–1
M. Barrow
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
32 F. Dimarco M
2 D. Dumfries M
95 A. Bastoni D
8 M. Vecino M
77 M. Brozović M
19 J. Correa F
23 N. Barella M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
9 E. Džeko
7 A. Sánchez
13 A. Ranocchia
5 R. Gagliardini
11 A. Kolarov
36 M. Darmian
21 A. Cordaz
33 D. D'Ambrosio
48 M. Satriano
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
14 I. Perišić
97 I. Radu

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
17 G. Medel D
4 K. Bonifazi D
3 A. Hickey D
21 R. Soriano M
32 M. Svanberg M
8 N. Domínguez M
9 M. Arnautović F
10 N. Sansone M
11 A. Skov Olsen M
Bench (12)
55 E. Vignato
99 M. Barrow
35 M. Dijks
20 S. van Hooijdonk
6 A. Theate
19 F. Santander
66 W. Amey
2 L. Binks
7 R. Orsolini
15 I. Mbaye
5 A. Soumaoro
22 F. Bardi

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
5,05
B
8,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.