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Serie A

Referee: L Marinelli

Genoa

T S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Fiorentina

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 11

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 13. · Fiorentina 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Inter	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+5	6
8	Torino	4	2	0	2	+3	6
9	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Genoa	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Verona	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.