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Referee: M Mariani

S U T U T

2–1

Full-time

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

0%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,8

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

0%

0%

Points per game

0,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 28

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 16. · Torino 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
13	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
9	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
12	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jan -21 Torino – Fiorentina 1–1 19. Sep -20 Fiorentina – Torino 1–0 19. Jul -20 Fiorentina – Torino 2–0 8. Dec -19 Torino – Fiorentina 2–1 31. Mar -19 Fiorentina – Torino 1–1

Match report

Fiorentina Torino

Gaetano Castrovilli 🟨

22′

Nikola Milenković 🟨

38′

39′

🟨 Koffi Djidji

1–0 N. González ⚽

G. Castrovilli

41′

45′

🟨 Rolando Mandragora

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 A. Buongiorno

↦ K. Djidji

Giacomo Bonaventura 🟨

48′

A. Duncan 🔁

↦ G. Castrovilli

63′

Dušan Vlahović 🟨

65′

65′

🟨 Alessandro Buongiorno

67′

🔁 S. Verdi

↦ K. Linetty

68′

🔁 M. Pjaca

↦ A. Sanabria

2–0 D. Vlahović ⚽

G. Bonaventura

69′

76′

🔁 M. Vojvoda

↦ A. Izzo

R. Sottil 🔁

↦ José Callejón

78′

79′

🟨 Ola Aina

81′

🔁 C. Ansaldi

↦ O. Aina

82′

🟨 Saša Lukić

R. Saponara 🔁

↦ N. González

85′

Y. Maleh 🔁

↦ G. Bonaventura

85′

89′

⚽ S. Verdi 2–1

S. Lukić

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3

1

P. Terracciano G

3

C. Biraghi D

23 L. Venuti D

2 L. Martínez D

4

N. Milenković D

5 G. Bonaventura M

15 E. Pulgar M

10 G. Castrovilli M

7 José Callejón F

9

D. Vlahović F

22

N. González F

Bench (12)

32 A. Duncan

33 R. Sottil

8 R. Saponara

14 Y. Maleh

55 M. Nastasić

17 A. Terzić

25 A. Rosati

98 Igor

18 L. Torreira

34 S. Amrabat

91 A. Kokorin

24 M. Benassi

Coach: V. Italiano

Torino

3-4-1-2

32

V. Savić G

13

R. Rodríguez D

26 K. Djidji D

5

A. Izzo D

34

O. Aina M

17

W. Singo M

77

K. Linetty F

10

S. Lukić M

38

R. Mandragora M

9

A. Belotti F

19 A. Sanabria F

Bench (12)

99 A. Buongiorno

24 S. Verdi

11 M. Pjaca

27 M. Vojvoda

15 C. Ansaldi

23 N. Rauti

4 T. Pobega

89 L. Gemello

1 E. Berisha

88 T. Rincón

6 J. Segre

8 D. Baselli

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,21

🔒

U

3,45

🔒

B

3,31

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,81

🔒

U2,5

2,03

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

22. Aug SA 5 years ago

22. May SA 5 years ago

16. May SA 5 years ago

12. May SA 5 years ago

8. May SA 5 years ago

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

25,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.