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Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Salernitana

S S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

3,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Atalanta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	3	1	0	+11	10
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Milan	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Bologna	4	2	1	1	-3	7
8	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+5	6
9	Torino	4	2	0	2	+3	6
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Genoa	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Verona	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
2	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.