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Serie A
Referee: F Pasqua
Torino
T U U U U
0–0
Full-time
Genoa
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
62%
52%
Both score Ø 67%
76%
57%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 17. · Genoa 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 21 15 4 2 +22 49
2 Inter 21 14 5 2 +28 47
3 Juventus 20 12 6 2 +23 42
4 Roma 21 12 4 5 +9 40
5 Lazio 21 12 4 5 +9 40
6 Napoli 20 12 1 7 +23 37
7 Atalanta 21 10 7 4 +19 37
8 Sassuolo 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Verona 21 8 6 7 +3 30
10 Sampdoria 21 8 3 10 -1 27
11 Udinese 21 6 6 9 -5 24
12 Bologna 22 6 6 10 -7 24
13 Genoa 21 6 6 9 -7 24
14 Benevento 22 6 6 10 -17 24
15 Fiorentina 21 5 7 9 -12 22
16 Spezia 21 5 6 10 -10 21
17 Torino 21 2 10 9 -9 16
18 Cagliari 21 3 6 12 -15 15
19 Parma 21 2 7 12 -27 13
20 Crotone 21 3 3 15 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Genoa
10′
🟨 Domenico Criscito
18′
🔁 E. Goldaniga
↦ D. Criscito
38′
🟨 Nicolò Rovella
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Shomurodov
↦ G. Pandev
59′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ S. Zaza
71′
D. Baselli 🔁
↦ S. Lukić
71′
76′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ M. Destro
Gleison Bremer 🟨
79′
K. Linetty 🔁
↦ T. Rincón
79′
N. Murru 🔁
↦ C. Ansaldi
79′
Armando Izzo 🟨
85′
90′
🟨 Ivan Radovanović
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
3 Bremer D
17 W. Singo M
88 T. Rincón M
7 S. Lukić M
38 R. Mandragora M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
24 S. Verdi
8 D. Baselli
77 K. Linetty
29 N. Murru
13 R. Rodríguez
10 A. Gojak
26 F. Bonazzoli
27 M. Vojvoda
99 A. Buongiorno
18 S. Ujkani
4 Lyanco
32 V. Savić

Coach: D. Nicola

Genoa

3-5-2
1 M. Perin G
55 A. Masiello D
4 D. Criscito D
77 D. Zappacosta M
99 L. Czyborra M
20 K. Strootman M
21 I. Radovanović D
16 M. Zajc M
65 N. Rovella M
19 G. Pandev F
23 M. Destro F
Bench (12)
5 E. Goldaniga
61 E. Shomurodov
37 M. Pjaca
24 F. Melegoni
9 G. Scamacca
17 M. Portanova
22 F. Marchetti
88 Luca Pellegrini
25 J. Onguéné
18 P. Ghiglione
11 V. Behrami
2 C. Zapata

Coach: D. Ballardini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U ✓
3,27
B
4,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Pasqua · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.