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Serie A
Referee: V Marini
Bologna
S S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 26%
32%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
60%
Both score Ø 64%
58%
70%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
25 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 11. · Torino 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 31 23 6 2 +42 75
2 Milan 32 20 6 6 +22 66
3 Atalanta 31 19 7 5 +34 64
4 Juventus 31 18 8 5 +33 62
5 Napoli 31 19 3 9 +31 60
6 Lazio 30 18 4 8 +10 58
7 Roma 31 16 6 9 +8 54
8 Sassuolo 32 13 10 9 +4 49
9 Verona 32 11 8 13 +0 41
10 Sampdoria 31 11 6 14 -4 39
11 Bologna 31 10 7 14 -4 37
12 Udinese 31 9 9 13 -7 36
13 Fiorentina 32 8 9 15 -12 33
14 Genoa 31 7 11 13 -13 32
15 Spezia 31 8 8 15 -18 32
16 Torino 30 6 12 12 -8 30
17 Benevento 31 7 9 15 -27 30
18 Cagliari 31 6 7 18 -19 25
19 Parma 31 3 11 17 -31 20
20 Crotone 31 4 3 24 -41 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Torino
A. Baldursson 🔁
↦ N. Domínguez
9′
18′
🟨 N. N'Koulou
1–0 M. Barrow
R. Soriano
25′
A. F. Baldursson 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 T. Rincon
A. Poli 🟨
51′
I. Mbaye 🟨
53′
L. De Silvestri 🔁
↦ M. Dijks
55′
M. Svanberg 🔁
↦ A. Baldursson
56′
J. Schouten 🔁
↦ A. Poli
56′
58′
R. Mandragora 1–1
65′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ R. Rodríguez
65′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ S. Verdi
72′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ A. Belotti
72′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ T. Rincón
Danilo 🟨
81′
A. Olsen 🔁
↦ N. Sansone
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
5 A. Soumaoro D
35 M. Dijks D
15 I. M'baye D
16 A. Poli M
21 R. Soriano M
8 N. Domínguez M
10 N. Sansone M
7 R. Orsolini M
99 M. Barrow F
Bench (12)
18 A. Baldursson
29 L. De Silvestri
32 M. Svanberg
30 J. Schouten
11 A. Olsen
43 P. Faragò
80 M. Juwara
1 Angelo da Costa
34 F. Ravaglia
55 E. Vignato
26 V. Antov
24 R. Palacio

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Torino

3-5-2
32 V. Savić G
33 N. N'Koulou D
13 R. Rodríguez M
5 A. Izzo D
3 Bremer D
17 W. Singo M
88 T. Rincón M
38 R. Mandragora M
11 S. Zaza F
24 S. Verdi M
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
15 C. Ansaldi
8 D. Baselli
19 A. Sanabria
7 S. Lukić
4 Lyanco
99 A. Buongiorno
29 N. Murru
10 A. Gojak
18 S. Ujkani
26 F. Bonazzoli
27 M. Vojvoda
77 K. Linetty

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U ✓
3,32
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.