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Coppa Italia
Referee: D Doveri
Fiorentina
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Torino
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 17. · Torino 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Torino 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Cremonese 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Bari 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Spezia 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Parma 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Modena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Monza 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Bologna 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Sampdoria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +2 3
14 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
15 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
22 Spal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Palermo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
24 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -3 3
25 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Perugia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Reggina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Padova 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Como 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Torino
Half-time 0–0
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ C. Kouamé
62′
62′
🔁 O. Aina
↦ W. Singo
62′
🔁 I. Ilić
↦ K. Linetty
1–0 L. Jović
A. Terzić
65′
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ L. Jović
74′
S. Amrabat 🔁
↦ R. Mandragora
74′
76′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ M. Vojvoda
A. Duncan 🔁
↦ G. Bonaventura
86′
2–0 J. Ikoné
90′
93′
Y. Karamoh 2–1
N. Vlašić
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
2 Dodô D
4 N. Milenković D
98 Igor D
15 A. Terzić D
5 G. Bonaventura M
38 R. Mandragora M
72 A. Barák M
22 N. González F
7 L. Jović F
99 C. Kouamé F
Bench (14)
11 J. Ikoné
9 Arthur Cabral
34 S. Amrabat
32 A. Duncan
56 S. Sirigu
42 A. Bianco
41 L. Amatucci
77 J. Brekalo
3 C. Biraghi
16 L. Ranieri
23 L. Venuti
28 L. Martínez
8 R. Saponara
31 M. Cerofolini

Coach: V. Italiano

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
3 P. Schuurs D
4 A. Buongiorno D
13 R. Rodríguez D
17 W. Singo M
28 S. Ricci M
77 K. Linetty M
27 M. Vojvoda M
59 A. Miranchuk F
16 N. Vlašić F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (14)
34 O. Aina
8 I. Ilić
7 Y. Karamoh
23 D. Seck
73 M. Fiorenza
94 C. N'Guessan
14 R. Vieira
89 L. Gemello
5 A. Gravillon
21 M. Adopo
66 G. Gineitis
76 L. Caccavo
81 A. Ciammaglichella
2 B. Bayeye

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.