Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: M Irrati

Sampdoria

T T T U U

1–2

Full-time

Bologna

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sampdoria Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 23%

36%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 48%

32%

64%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,35 xG 0,85

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 19. · Bologna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	23	20	2	1	+41	+4.4	62
2	Juventus	22	13	5	4	+17	+3.1	44
3	Inter	22	14	2	6	+15	+3.9	44
4	Atalanta	22	12	5	5	+17	+1.4	41
5	Roma	22	12	5	5	+10	+2.7	41
6	Milan	22	12	5	5	+8	-3.1	41
7	Lazio	22	11	6	5	+18	-0.5	39
8	Udinese	22	7	9	6	+5	+1.0	30
9	Torino	22	8	6	8	-1	+0.3	30
10	Monza	22	8	5	9	-2	+0.2	29
11	Bologna	22	8	5	9	-4	+0.8	29
12	Empoli	22	6	9	7	-7	-0.5	27
13	Lecce	22	5	9	8	-3	+0.1	24
14	Fiorentina	22	6	6	10	-6	+0.8	24
15	Sassuolo	23	6	6	11	-9	-0.2	24
16	Salernitana	22	5	6	11	-17	-3.3	21
17	Spezia	22	4	7	11	-18	-3.5	19
18	Verona	22	4	5	13	-13	-0.9	17
19	Sampdoria	22	2	5	15	-26	-3.3	11
20	Cremonese	22	0	8	14	-25	-3.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+23	+1.8	31
2	Juventus	12	8	3	1	+17	+1.6	27
3	Inter	11	9	0	2	+17	+1.2	27
4	Milan	11	8	1	2	+9	-0.2	25
5	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+9	-0.2	21
6	Roma	10	6	1	3	+7	-0.5	19
7	Bologna	12	5	4	3	+6	+0.9	19
8	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+8	+1.0	17
9	Empoli	11	4	4	3	+0	-0.4	16
10	Udinese	11	3	6	2	+5	+2.1	15
11	Monza	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.9	15
12	Torino	10	4	3	3	+2	+1.1	15
13	Fiorentina	11	4	3	4	-2	+0.7	15
14	Sassuolo	11	4	2	5	+0	-0.1	14
15	Verona	12	4	1	7	-4	+0.3	13
16	Lecce	11	2	6	3	-1	-1.1	12
17	Salernitana	11	3	3	5	-2	-2.4	12
18	Spezia	11	2	6	3	-4	-2.4	12
19	Cremonese	11	0	3	8	-14	-2.3	3
20	Sampdoria	11	0	3	8	-14	-1.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	1	1	+18	+2.5	31
2	Atalanta	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.4	24
3	Roma	12	6	4	2	+3	+3.2	22
4	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+9	-0.3	18
5	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+0	+1.5	17
6	Inter	11	5	2	4	-2	+2.7	17
7	Milan	11	4	4	3	-1	-2.9	16
8	Udinese	11	4	3	4	+0	-1.1	15
9	Torino	12	4	3	5	-3	-0.8	15
10	Monza	11	4	2	5	-5	-0.8	14
11	Lecce	11	3	3	5	-2	+1.2	12
12	Empoli	11	2	5	4	-7	-0.1	11
13	Sassuolo	12	2	4	6	-9	-0.1	10
14	Bologna	10	3	1	6	-10	-0.1	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-4	+0.1	9
16	Salernitana	11	2	3	6	-15	-0.9	9
17	Sampdoria	11	2	2	7	-12	-1.9	8
18	Spezia	11	2	1	8	-14	-1.1	7
19	Cremonese	11	0	5	6	-11	-1.0	5
20	Verona	10	0	4	6	-9	-1.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.