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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Groningen
T T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Willem II
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
55%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 11. · Willem II 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 10 2 0 +30 32
2 AZ Alkmaar 12 8 2 2 +20 26
3 PSV Eindhoven 12 7 3 2 +13 24
4 Vitesse 12 7 2 3 +6 23
5 Utrecht 11 6 2 3 +8 20
6 Willem II 11 6 1 4 -1 19
7 Heracles 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Heerenveen 11 4 5 2 +5 17
9 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 4 4 -1 16
10 Twente 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Groningen 11 4 2 5 +0 14
12 Feyenoord 11 3 5 3 -3 14
13 FC Emmen 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 Zwolle 12 3 1 8 -12 10
15 Den Haag 11 3 0 8 -8 9
16 For Sittard 11 2 3 6 -9 9
17 VVV Venlo 11 3 0 8 -17 9
18 Waalwijk 12 1 1 10 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Willem II
1–0 K. Sierhuis
D. Warmerdam
40′
43′
🟨 Dries Saddiki
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Quiñónez
↦ C. Nunnely
2–0 K. Sierhuis
J. Asoro
47′
Ahmed El Messaoudi 🟨
53′
60′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ D. Saddiki
C. Benschop 🔁
↦ K. Sierhuis
63′
66′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ M. Nelom
S. Memišević 🔁
↦ A. Hrustic
71′
76′
🟨 Jordens Peters
Charlison Benschop 🟨
80′
S. Schreck 🔁
↦ M. El Hankouri
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
21 D. Warmerdam D
42 D. Zeefuik D
17 K. Itakura D
23 A. Hrustic M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
11 J. Asoro F
9 K. Sierhuis F
14 M. El Hankouri M
Bench (8)
35 C. Benschop
5 S. Memišević
8 S. Schreck
32 M. van Duin
20 A. Absalem
16 J. Hoekstra
3 B. van Hintum
26 D. van Kaam

Coach: D. Buijs

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
18 M. Nelom D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 S. Holmén D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Ndayishimiye M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (9)
28 J. Quiñónez
26 B. Nieuwkoop
9 P. Gladon
12 M. Woud
24 J. McGarry
27 V. van den Bogert
33 R. Zuijderwijk
14 E. Kabangu
13 G. Strezos

Coach: A. Koster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,51
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.