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Super League

Referee: F San

Luzern

S T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Lugano

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

21 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Lugano 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	8	4	0	+18	28
2	Basel	12	8	2	2	+17	26
3	St. Gallen	13	8	2	3	+11	26
4	Zurich	13	5	3	5	-12	18
5	Sion	13	5	2	6	-4	17
6	Luzern	12	4	3	5	-2	15
7	Servette	12	2	6	4	-1	12
8	Xamax	12	2	5	5	-7	11
9	Lugano	12	2	4	6	-3	10
10	Thun	13	1	3	9	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Basel	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	St. Gallen	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	Zurich	6	3	1	2	-4	10
5	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Sion	6	2	1	3	-2	7
7	Servette	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Xamax	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Lugano	6	0	3	3	-4	3
10	Thun	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Basel	6	3	2	1	+6	11
3	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Sion	7	3	1	3	-2	10
5	Zurich	7	2	2	3	-8	8
6	Lugano	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Luzern	7	2	1	4	-3	7
8	Servette	6	1	3	2	+0	6
9	Xamax	6	1	3	2	-3	6
10	Thun	6	1	1	4	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.