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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Viking

S S U S T

3–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

42%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 5. · Lillestrom 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	27	18	5	4	+33	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	26	14	8	4	+20	50
3	Odd	26	13	7	6	+7	46
4	Rosenborg	27	12	9	6	+10	45
5	Viking	26	11	7	8	+7	40
6	Kristiansund	27	10	8	9	+0	38
7	Brann	26	9	10	7	+5	37
8	Haugesund	26	7	11	8	+3	32
9	Valerenga	26	7	9	10	-3	30
10	Stabaek	26	7	9	10	-4	30
11	Lillestrom	26	7	8	11	-9	29
12	Tromso	26	8	4	14	-17	28
13	Stromsgodset	27	6	8	13	-16	26
14	Sarpsborg 08	26	4	13	9	-7	25
15	Mjondalen	26	4	12	10	-14	24
16	Ranheim	26	6	6	14	-15	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Odd	13	10	3	0	+15	33
3	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	3	1	+24	30
4	Rosenborg	13	9	3	1	+16	30
5	Viking	13	8	3	2	+14	27
6	Kristiansund	13	7	4	2	+12	25
7	Valerenga	13	5	4	4	+4	19
8	Stabaek	14	4	7	3	+4	19
9	Lillestrom	13	5	4	4	-1	19
10	Tromso	13	5	3	5	+5	18
11	Brann	13	4	6	3	+1	18
12	Stromsgodset	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Sarpsborg 08	13	3	8	2	+1	17
14	Haugesund	13	3	6	4	+1	15
15	Mjondalen	13	3	6	4	-3	15
16	Ranheim	13	3	2	8	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	7	3	4	+8	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	5	5	3	-4	20
3	Brann	13	5	4	4	+4	19
4	Haugesund	13	4	5	4	+2	17
5	Rosenborg	14	3	6	5	-6	15
6	Viking	13	3	4	6	-7	13
7	Ranheim	13	3	4	6	-7	13
8	Odd	13	3	4	6	-8	13
9	Kristiansund	14	3	4	7	-12	13
10	Valerenga	13	2	5	6	-7	11
11	Stabaek	12	3	2	7	-8	11
12	Lillestrom	13	2	4	7	-8	10
13	Tromso	13	3	1	9	-22	10
14	Mjondalen	13	1	6	6	-11	9
15	Sarpsborg 08	13	1	5	7	-8	8
16	Stromsgodset	13	1	5	7	-11	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.