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Ligue 1
Referee: A Ustaritz
St Etienne
T S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Nantes
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
37%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
58%
32%
Both score Ø 45%
53%
37%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 15. · Nantes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 18 15 0 3 +33 45
2 Marseille 20 12 5 3 +9 41
3 Rennes 19 10 3 6 +6 33
4 Lille 19 9 4 6 +3 31
5 Montpellier 20 8 6 6 +8 30
6 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +12 29
7 Nantes 19 9 2 8 -1 29
8 Angers 20 8 5 7 -2 29
9 Monaco 18 8 4 6 +5 28
10 Reims 19 7 7 5 +4 28
11 Nice 20 8 4 8 +1 28
12 Strasbourg 20 8 3 9 -2 27
13 Bordeaux 20 7 5 8 +5 26
14 Brest 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 St Etienne 19 7 4 8 -7 25
16 Metz 20 4 8 8 -10 20
17 Dijon 19 4 6 9 -8 18
18 Amiens 19 4 5 10 -16 17
19 Nimes 19 3 6 10 -17 15
20 Toulouse 20 3 3 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Nantes
23′
M. Abeid 0–1
Half-time 0–1
C. Abi 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
46′
46′
🔁 T. Basila
↦ M. Wagué
48′
L. Blas 0–2
M. Simon
Wahbi Khazri 🟨
52′
M. Rivera 🔁
↦ F. Honorat
66′
67′
🔁 R. Emond
↦ K. Bamba
Sergi Palencia 🟨
69′
70′
🟨 Imrân Louza
81′
🔁 S. Moutoussamy
↦ L. Blas
Edmilson Correia 🔁
↦ A. Nordin
82′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
13 M. Trauco D
23 Sergi Palencia D
2 H. Moukoudi D
29 Y. Cabaye M
7 R. Boudebouz M
18 A. Nordin M
8 M. Camara M
10 W. Khazri F
14 F. Honorat M
Bench (7)
31 C. Abi
36 M. Rivera
33 Edmilson Correia
26 M. Debuchy
30 J. Moulin
5 T. Kolodziejczak
17 J. Aholou

Coach: C. Puel

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
12 D. Appiah D
13 M. Wagué D
14 C. Traoré D
11 M. Abeid M
20 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
32 K. Bamba M
17 L. Blas M
26 I. Louza M
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
23 T. Basila
28 R. Emond
18 S. Moutoussamy
21 R. Krhin
30 D. Petrić
10 C. Benavente
22 B. Ndilu

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,02
B ✓
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,55
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.