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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

Nantes

T T T T U

2–1

Full-time

Toulouse

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

43%

21%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

36%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nantes 10. · Toulouse 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	0	3	+22	33
2	Marseille	15	8	4	3	+2	28
3	Angers	15	7	3	5	+0	24
4	Montpellier	15	6	5	4	+6	23
5	Bordeaux	15	6	5	4	+4	23
6	Lyon	15	6	4	5	+9	22
7	Lille	15	6	4	5	+4	22
8	St Etienne	14	6	4	4	-2	22
9	Reims	15	5	6	4	+3	21
10	Nantes	14	6	2	6	-1	20
11	Nice	15	6	2	7	-2	20
12	Rennes	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Strasbourg	15	5	3	7	+0	18
14	Monaco	14	5	3	6	-3	18
15	Brest	15	4	6	5	-3	18
16	Amiens	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Metz	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	Dijon	15	4	3	8	-7	15
19	Nimes	14	2	6	6	-6	12
20	Toulouse	14	3	3	8	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Angers	8	6	1	1	+11	19
3	Montpellier	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Paris SG	7	6	0	1	+16	18
5	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Strasbourg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Nice	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Brest	8	3	4	1	+4	13
9	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+2	13
11	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+7	11
12	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+3	11
13	Reims	8	2	5	1	+2	11
14	Dijon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
15	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
16	St Etienne	7	2	4	1	+1	10
17	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-3	10
18	Metz	7	2	3	2	+1	9
19	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	-3	9
20	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+1	12
3	St Etienne	7	4	0	3	-3	12
4	Lyon	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Marseille	7	3	2	2	-2	11
6	Reims	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
9	Nice	7	2	0	5	-4	6
10	Amiens	8	1	3	4	-6	6
11	Metz	8	1	3	4	-8	6
12	Monaco	7	1	2	4	-6	5
13	Brest	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Angers	7	1	2	4	-11	5
15	Montpellier	7	0	4	3	-3	4
16	Strasbourg	7	1	1	5	-3	4
17	Dijon	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Nimes	8	0	4	4	-8	4
19	Toulouse	7	0	3	4	-9	3
20	Lille	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.