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Ligue 1

Referee: Brisard Jerome

Montpellier

T T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Nice

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

13%

63%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

1,4

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 14. · Nice 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Monaco	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Nantes	9	5	2	2	+1	17
5	Lyon	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Marseille	8	5	1	2	+3	16
7	Bordeaux	9	4	4	1	+2	16
8	Caen	9	5	0	4	+1	15
9	Guingamp	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Angers	9	2	6	1	+3	12
11	Troyes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Toulouse	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Nice	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Rennes	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Lille	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
18	Dijon	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Metz	9	1	0	8	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	Bordeaux	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Caen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Nice	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Lille	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Angers	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Metz	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Angers	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Monaco	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Marseille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
6	Troyes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Caen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Guingamp	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Nice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Metz	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Amiens	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Toulouse	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Strasbourg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.