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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Rennes
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Lyon
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
50%
61%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
56%
61%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 4. · Lyon 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 18 11 6 1 +21 39
2 Paris SG 18 11 3 4 +29 36
3 Lille 18 10 6 2 +18 36
4 Rennes 18 9 5 4 +7 32
5 Marseille 16 9 4 3 +9 31
6 Monaco 18 9 3 6 +6 30
7 Angers 18 9 3 6 -2 30
8 Lens 17 8 3 6 +1 27
9 Montpellier 18 8 3 7 -1 27
10 Brest 18 8 2 8 -1 26
11 Metz 18 6 6 6 +2 24
12 Bordeaux 18 6 5 7 -2 23
13 Nice 17 6 4 7 -3 22
14 St Etienne 18 4 7 7 -7 19
15 Reims 18 4 6 8 -4 18
16 Strasbourg 18 5 2 11 -5 17
17 Nantes 18 3 7 8 -12 16
18 Dijon 18 2 7 9 -14 13
19 Lorient 18 3 3 12 -17 12
20 Nimes 18 3 3 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lyon
14′
🟨 Houssem Aouar
1–0 C. Grenier
M. Terrier
20′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Lucas Paquetá
2–0 B. Bourigeaud
55′
66′
ℹ️ Jason Denayer
VAR: Goal cancelled
67′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ Lucas Paquetá
67′
🔁 M. Cherki
↦ T. Kadewere
G. Rutter 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
77′
F. Tait 🔁
↦ C. Grenier
77′
79′
M. Depay 2–1
M. Cornet
82′
J. Denayer 2–2
M. Depay
Benjamin Bourigeaud 🟨
87′
89′
🔁 S. Diomande
↦ M. De Sciglio
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-1-4-1
1 R. Salin G
27 H. Traoré D
4 G. Nyamsi D
6 N. Aguerd D
31 A. Truffert D
8 C. Grenier M
15 S. Nzonzi M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
7 M. Terrier F
10 E. Camavinga M
18 J. Doku M
Bench (9)
35 G. Rutter
20 F. Tait
16 A. Gomis
34 B. Soppy
22 R. Del Castillo
11 M. Niang
28 J. Martin
5 Dalbert Henrique
23 A. Hunou

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
22 M. De Sciglio D
5 J. Denayer D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 H. Aouar M
12 Lucas Paquetá M
10 M. Depay F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
27 M. Cornet D
11 T. Kadewere F
Bench (9)
25 M. Caqueret
18 M. Cherki
2 S. Diomande
29 Y. Soumaré
14 L. Dubois
4 Jean Lucas
30 J. Pollersbeck
26 M. Bard
3 D. Benlamri

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,32
U ✓
3,47
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.