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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Dijon
T T T S T
1–5
Full-time
Metz
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 21%
9%
32%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
41%
35%
Both score Ø 46%
41%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 20. · Metz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 35 22 10 3 +37 76
2 Paris SG 35 24 3 8 +52 75
3 Monaco 34 22 5 7 +33 71
4 Lyon 34 19 10 5 +32 67
5 Lens 35 15 11 9 +7 56
6 Marseille 35 15 11 9 +7 56
7 Rennes 35 15 9 11 +11 54
8 Montpellier 34 12 11 11 -3 47
9 Nice 35 13 7 15 -3 46
10 Metz 34 11 10 13 -4 43
11 Reims 34 9 14 11 -2 41
12 Angers 34 11 8 15 -17 41
13 Brest 34 11 7 16 -10 40
14 St Etienne 34 10 9 15 -13 39
15 Bordeaux 35 11 6 18 -15 39
16 Strasbourg 35 10 8 17 -10 38
17 Lorient 34 9 8 17 -18 35
18 Nantes 34 6 13 15 -17 31
19 Nimes 34 8 7 19 -29 31
20 Dijon 34 3 9 22 -38 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Metz
5′
🟨 Papa Ndiaga Yade
37′
M. Gueye 0–1
42′
P. Sarr 0–2
Bersant Celina 🟥
43′
Half-time 0–2
G. Ngonda 🔁
↦ J. Panzo
46′
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ A. Chalá
46′
46′
🔁 T. Ambrose
↦ P. Yade
1–2 Mama Baldé
F. Sammaritano
48′
59′
🔁 Vágner
↦ I. Niane
59′
🔁 F. Boulaya
↦ K. NDoram
68′
🔁 V. Angban
↦ M. Gueye
70′
F. Chafik 2–2
own goal
M. Chouiar 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
75′
M. Dobre 🔁
↦ Mama Baldé
75′
82′
Vágner 2–3
F. Boulaya
Wesley Lautoa 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 Y. Maziz
↦ P. Sarr
85′
D. Bronn 2–4
F. Boulaya
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ W. Lautoa
86′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Dijon

5-3-2
16 S. Allagbé G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
24 W. Lautoa M
26 F. Chafik D
13 A. Chalá D
4 J. Panzo D
5 S. Coulibaly D
14 J. Marié M
9 B. Celina F
17 Mama Baldé F
8 E. Ebimbe M
Bench (9)
3 G. Ngonda
7 F. Sammaritano
21 M. Chouiar
29 M. Dobre
32 J. Siwe
11 M. Konaté
18 W. Younoussa
1 A. Racioppi
2 S. Boey

Coach: D. Linarès

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
15 P. Sarr M
26 P. Yade F
7 I. Niane F
13 M. Gueye F
Bench (9)
9 T. Ambrose
27 Vágner
10 F. Boulaya
5 V. Angban
22 Y. Maziz
17 T. Delaine
24 A. Leya
6 M. Fofana
30 M. Caillard

Coach: F. Antonetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,72
U
3,31
B ✓
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Schneider · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.