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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Lyon

U T U S S

2–3

Full-time

Lille

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 60%

58%

61%

Points per game

2,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

61%

36%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 4. · Lille 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	23	3	8	+51	72
2	Monaco	34	22	5	7	+33	71
3	Lille	33	20	10	3	+34	70
4	Lyon	33	19	10	4	+33	67
5	Lens	34	15	11	8	+8	56
6	Marseille	34	15	10	9	+7	55
7	Rennes	34	15	9	10	+12	54
8	Montpellier	34	12	11	11	-3	47
9	Nice	34	13	7	14	-1	46
10	Metz	34	11	10	13	-4	43
11	Reims	34	9	14	11	-2	41
12	Angers	34	11	8	15	-17	41
13	Brest	34	11	7	16	-10	40
14	St Etienne	34	10	9	15	-13	39
15	Strasbourg	34	10	7	17	-10	37
16	Bordeaux	34	10	6	18	-16	36
17	Lorient	34	9	8	17	-18	35
18	Nantes	34	6	13	15	-17	31
19	Nimes	34	8	7	19	-29	31
20	Dijon	34	3	9	22	-38	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	17	11	1	5	+25	34
3	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Lille	17	9	6	2	+15	33
5	Marseille	17	9	4	4	+8	31
6	Brest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
7	Lens	17	7	6	4	+5	27
8	Rennes	17	8	3	6	+3	27
9	Lorient	17	8	2	7	-1	26
10	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
11	Nice	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Reims	17	4	8	5	-3	20
13	Metz	17	5	4	8	-4	19
14	Bordeaux	17	5	4	8	-6	19
15	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-9	18
16	Angers	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Strasbourg	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Nantes	17	2	8	7	-10	14
19	Nimes	17	3	4	10	-14	13
20	Dijon	17	1	6	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	2	3	+26	38
2	Lille	16	11	4	1	+19	37
3	Lyon	17	9	7	1	+15	34
4	Monaco	17	11	0	6	+11	33
5	Lens	17	8	5	4	+3	29
6	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+9	27
7	Nice	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Metz	17	6	6	5	+0	24
9	Marseille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
10	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	-3	23
11	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
12	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
13	Strasbourg	17	6	3	8	-3	21
14	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Nimes	17	5	3	9	-15	18
16	Nantes	17	4	5	8	-7	17
17	Bordeaux	17	5	2	10	-10	17
18	Brest	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	17	2	3	12	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.