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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Brest

U T U U S

1–4

Full-time

Nantes

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 25%

32%

18%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

62%

71%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 13. · Nantes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	35	22	10	3	+37	76
2	Paris SG	35	24	3	8	+52	75
3	Monaco	34	22	5	7	+33	71
4	Lyon	34	19	10	5	+32	67
5	Lens	35	15	11	9	+7	56
6	Marseille	35	15	11	9	+7	56
7	Rennes	35	15	9	11	+11	54
8	Montpellier	34	12	11	11	-3	47
9	Nice	35	13	7	15	-3	46
10	Metz	34	11	10	13	-4	43
11	Reims	34	9	14	11	-2	41
12	Angers	34	11	8	15	-17	41
13	Brest	34	11	7	16	-10	40
14	St Etienne	34	10	9	15	-13	39
15	Bordeaux	35	11	6	18	-15	39
16	Strasbourg	35	10	8	17	-10	38
17	Lorient	34	9	8	17	-18	35
18	Nantes	34	6	13	15	-17	31
19	Nimes	34	8	7	19	-29	31
20	Dijon	34	3	9	22	-38	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	18	12	1	5	+26	37
3	Lille	18	10	6	2	+17	36
4	Lyon	17	10	3	4	+17	33
5	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Brest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
7	Lens	17	7	6	4	+5	27
8	Rennes	17	8	3	6	+3	27
9	Lorient	17	8	2	7	-1	26
10	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
11	Bordeaux	18	6	4	8	-5	22
12	Nice	17	6	3	8	-4	21
13	Reims	17	4	8	5	-3	20
14	Metz	17	5	4	8	-4	19
15	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-9	18
16	Angers	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Strasbourg	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Nantes	17	2	8	7	-10	14
19	Nimes	17	3	4	10	-14	13
20	Dijon	17	1	6	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Paris SG	17	12	2	3	+26	38
3	Lyon	17	9	7	1	+15	34
4	Monaco	17	11	0	6	+11	33
5	Lens	18	8	5	5	+2	29
6	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Nice	18	7	4	7	+1	25
8	Metz	17	6	6	5	+0	24
9	Marseille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
10	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	-3	23
11	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
12	Strasbourg	18	6	4	8	-3	22
13	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
14	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Nimes	17	5	3	9	-15	18
16	Nantes	17	4	5	8	-7	17
17	Bordeaux	17	5	2	10	-10	17
18	Brest	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	17	2	3	12	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.