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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Troyes

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Marseille

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

20%

52%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

44%

36%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

4 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 20. · Marseille 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	26	19	5	2	+33	62
2	Nice	26	14	5	7	+16	47
3	Marseille	25	13	7	5	+15	46
4	Rennes	26	13	4	9	+26	43
5	Strasbourg	26	12	7	7	+17	43
6	Lens	26	11	7	8	+5	40
7	Nantes	26	11	6	9	+5	39
8	Lyon	25	10	9	6	+3	39
9	Monaco	26	10	8	8	+10	38
10	Montpellier	26	11	4	11	+3	37
11	Lille	25	9	9	7	-3	36
12	Brest	26	8	8	10	-4	32
13	Reims	26	7	10	9	+0	31
14	Angers	26	7	8	11	-7	29
15	Clermont	26	7	7	12	-15	28
16	Lorient	26	5	9	12	-18	24
17	Metz	26	4	10	12	-20	22
18	St Etienne	26	5	7	14	-23	22
19	Bordeaux	26	4	10	12	-25	22
20	Troyes	25	5	6	14	-18	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	12	1	0	+24	37
2	Rennes	13	9	1	3	+22	28
3	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+10	26
4	Nantes	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+14	24
7	Lens	13	6	5	2	+9	23
8	Montpellier	14	7	2	5	+6	23
9	Nice	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+7	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Reims	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Lorient	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Angers	13	5	1	7	-2	16
16	Clermont	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-5	11
19	St Etienne	13	2	5	6	-10	11
20	Metz	13	1	5	7	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	13	8	2	3	+13	26
2	Marseille	12	8	2	2	+8	26
3	Paris SG	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Strasbourg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Lens	13	5	2	6	-4	17
6	Lille	13	4	4	5	-2	16
7	Rennes	13	4	3	6	+4	15
8	Reims	14	3	6	5	-5	15
9	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-3	14
10	Brest	13	3	5	5	-6	14
11	Metz	13	3	5	5	-10	14
12	Clermont	13	4	2	7	-12	14
13	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-3	13
14	Nantes	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Angers	13	2	7	4	-5	13
16	Lyon	12	3	4	5	-7	13
17	St Etienne	13	3	2	8	-13	11
18	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-20	11
19	Troyes	13	3	1	9	-16	10
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.