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La Liga
Referee: Francisco Hernández
Las Palmas
T T U U U
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,41 xG 1,85
48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Apr -24 Las Palmas – Sevilla 0–2 17. Sep -23 Sevilla – Las Palmas 1–0 17. Feb -18 Las Palmas – Sevilla 1–2 20. Sep -17 Sevilla – Las Palmas 1–0 12. Feb -17 Las Palmas – Sevilla 0–1

Match report

Las Palmas Sevilla
25′
⚽ Álex Suárez 1–0
own goal
34′
🟨 Juanlu Sánchez
1–1 T. Nianzou ⚽
own goal
42′
Half-time 1–2
61′
⚽ Juanlu Sánchez 1–2
Isaac Romero
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ Jaime Mata
68′
S. McKenna 🔁
↦ Álex Muñoz
69′
Manu Fuster 🔁
↦ E. Loiodice
69′
2–2 Sandro Ramírez ⚽
Javi Muñoz
71′
74′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ D. Lukébakio
Viti Rozada 🔁
↦ Marvin Park
76′
80′
🟨 Adrià Pedrosa
Viti Rozada 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 Kike Salas
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
83′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ Isaac Romero
A. Bassinga 🔁
↦ Alberto Moleiro
87′
Marc Cardona 🔁
↦ O. McBurnie
87′
Mika Mármol 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 J. Cillessen G
2 Marvin Park D
4 Álex Suárez D
3 Mika Màrmol D
23 Álex Muñoz D
12 E. Loiodice M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
17 Jaime Mata M
5 Javi Muñoz M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
16 O. McBurnie F
Bench (12)
19 Sandro Ramírez
15 S. McKenna
14 Manu Fuster
18 Viti Rozada
26 A. Bassinga
9 Marc Cardona
21 Iván Gil
13 D. Horkaš
27 Valentín Pezzolesi
28 Juanma Herzog
11 Benito Ramírez
8 Campaña

Coach: Luis Carrión

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Ø. Nyland G
32 José Ángel Carmona D
24 T. Nianzou D
6 N. Gudelj D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
18 L. Agoumé M
20 D. Sow M
5 L. Ocampos M
26 Juanlu Sánchez M
11 D. Lukébakio M
7 Isaac Romero F
Bench (12)
16 Jesús Navas
4 Kike Salas
14 Peque Fernández
1 Álvaro Fernández
23 Marcão
22 L. Badé
21 C. Ejuke
30 Alberto Collado
27 S. Idumbo
15 G. Montiel
31 Alberto Flores
37 Pablo Rivera

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
🔒
U ✓
3,21
🔒
B
2,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,18
🔒
U2,5
1,71
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.