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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
For Sittard
T U U U S
3–0
Full-time
Almere City
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Almere City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,22 xG 0,67
52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 3. · Almere City 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.0 3
2 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.0 3
3 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.7 3
4 Twente 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.5 3
5 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
6 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.7 3
7 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
8 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.7 1
9 Willem II 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.7 1
10 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
11 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
12 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.5 0
13 Heerenveen 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.0 0
14 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.7 0
15 Almere City 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
16 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.7 0
17 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.0 0
18 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Almere City
11′
🔁 E. Poku
↦ T. Robinet
1–0 A. Halilović
L. Rosier
24′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 C. Mamengi
↦ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
Makan Aïko 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Christopher Mamengi
2–0 K. Peterson
M. Dijks
68′
3–0 J. Mitrović
73′
75′
🟨 Sherel Floranus
A. Erceg 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
76′
S. Bastien 🔁
↦ J. Mitrović
76′
77′
🟨 Emanuel Poku
79′
🔁 F. Mattoir
↦ Álex Balboa
79′
🔁 Àlex Carbonell
↦ A. Nalić
D. Grujčić 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
86′
S. van Ottele 🔁
↦ L. Rosier
86′
Syb van Ottele 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 M. Branderhorst G
12 Ivo Pinto D
4 S. Adewoye D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
35 M. Dijks D
32 L. Rosier M
80 R. Fosso M
10 A. Halilović M
28 J. Mitrović M
7 K. Peterson M
11 M. Aïko F
Bench (11)
50 A. Erceg
22 S. Bastien
5 D. Grujčić
6 S. van Ottele
77 L. Tunjić
27 S. Hermsen
8 J. Dahlhaus
39 M. Robberechts
1 L. Koopmans
38 T. Schenkhuizen
71 R. Bayram

Coach: D. Buijs

Almere City

4-2-3-1
1 N. Bakker G
20 H. Akujobi D
3 J. Jacobs D
2 S. Floranus D
14 V. Zagaritis D
8 S. Resink M
23 Álex Balboa M
5 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp M
16 A. Nalić M
17 K. Hansen M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (10)
39 E. Poku
25 C. Mamengi
24 F. Mattoir
6 Àlex Carbonell
40 M. Dors
34 J. Pinas
27 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
29 J. Wendlinger
37 J. Puriël
31 J. van der Wilt

Coach: H. Maduro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,67
B
4,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.