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Championship

Referee: D Coote

Coventry

U T T T S

3–2

Full-time

Oxford

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Oxford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,95 xG 0,96

64% Possession 36%

26 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

14 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Coventry 17. · Oxford 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.4	3
2	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.0	3
3	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
8	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
9	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
10	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
11	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.5	1
12	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.5	1
13	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
14	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
15	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
16	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.4	0
17	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
19	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
20	Preston	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
21	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
22	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
23	Luton	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.0	0
24	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.4	3
2	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
3	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
5	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.5	1
7	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
9	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
10	Preston	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
11	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
12	Luton	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.0	3
2	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
6	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.5	1
7	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.4	0
9	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
11	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
12	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.