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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

Santa Clara

S U U T S

0–2

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

4,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,75 xG 1,11

38% Possession 62%

5 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

4 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santa Clara 1. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.4	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.5	3
4	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
10	AVS	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
11	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
12	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.5	0
16	Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.4	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.5	3
3	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
5	AVS	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
7	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
8	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
4	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
6	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
7	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.5	0
8	Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
9	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.