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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Kochanek

Puszcza

S T U T U

4–1

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,61 xG 1,50

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Puszcza 15. · Lechia Gdansk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+5	-1.0	9
2	Piast Gliwice	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.3	8
3	Widzew Lodz	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.0	8
4	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
6	Legia	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.1	7
7	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.1	7
8	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.5	7
9	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
10	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.1	5
11	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
12	GKS Katowice	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.4	4
13	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+3.5	3
14	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.3	2
15	Puszcza	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.9	2
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.1	2
17	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.4	1
18	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.9	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.8	6
4	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
5	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
6	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
7	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
9	Puszcza	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
13	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
17	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
3	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	GKS Katowice	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
6	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
7	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.5	4
8	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
9	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
10	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
12	Lech Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
13	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1
14	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.3	1
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
16	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
17	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.