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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Ajax

S S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Groningen

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

3,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,2

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

71%

29%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

86%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

4,4

2,4

Scored

3,6

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%

32 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 2

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Groningen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+19	17
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+13	16
4	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Willem II	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Utrecht	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Heracles	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Feyenoord	7	2	4	1	-1	10
12	VVV Venlo	8	3	0	5	-7	9
13	Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	FC Emmen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	For Sittard	7	0	2	5	-13	2
18	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+13	9
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Heerenveen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+6	8
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Heracles	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.