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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Ajax

S S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Zwolle

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

21 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 6. · Zwolle 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Zwolle	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	VVV Venlo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Heracles	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	NAC Breda	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Roda	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Willem II	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	NAC Breda	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.