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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Zwolle
S S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Den Haag
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
6 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 14. · Den Haag 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 8 2 0 +24 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +17 23
3 Vitesse 10 7 2 1 +9 23
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 +13 20
5 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Heerenveen 10 4 4 2 +5 16
7 Willem II 10 5 1 4 -2 16
8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 3 2 +2 15
9 Heracles 9 4 2 3 -1 14
10 Feyenoord 9 3 4 2 +1 13
11 Twente 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Groningen 9 3 1 5 -2 10
13 VVV Venlo 10 3 0 7 -14 9
14 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 -8 7
15 FC Emmen 9 2 1 6 -8 7
16 Den Haag 9 2 0 7 -8 6
17 For Sittard 9 1 3 5 -11 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 -22 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Den Haag
8′
M. Kramer 0–1
D. Malone
Kenneth Paal 🟨
12′
D. Bajselmani 🔁
↦ S. van Wermeskerken
13′
31′
🟨 Tom Beugelsdijk
1–1 I. Bel Hassani
M. Saymak
38′
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ J. Goossens
2–1 R. Ghoochannejhad
M. Saymak
74′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
77′
77′
🔁 T. Necid
↦ D. Bakker
80′
🔁 T. Haye
↦ L. Immers
89′
🟨 Bilal Ould-Chikh
3–1 P. Clement
G. Hamer
89′
Dennis Johnsen 🟨
90′
Pelle Clement 🟨
90′
S. Kersten 🔁
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
29 D. Lachman D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
11 I. Bel Hassani F
6 M. Saymak M
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer M
8 R. Ghoochannejhad F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (11)
47 D. Bajselmani
17 D. Johnsen
15 S. Kersten
33 A. Dekono
30 D. Huiberts
20 T. Bruns
3 T. Lam
16 M. Zetterer
19 R. Dekker
40 M. Hauptmeijer
10 L. Thy

Coach: J. Stegeman

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
19 S. Pinas D
27 M. van Ewijk D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
11 J. Goossens F
17 D. Bakker M
29 M. Kramer F
14 C. Summerville F
Bench (10)
7 B. Ould-Chikh
9 T. Necid
20 T. Haye
15 D. Muringen
25 R. Polley
18 M. Havekotte
3 A. Bjelica
23 P. Cibicki
77 E. Hooi
35 Y. Schoonderwalt

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,78
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.