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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Den Haag
T T S U T
3–3
Full-time
Willem II
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
23%
54%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 20
9 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 16. · Willem II 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 +37 38
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 13 7 3 3 +12 24
4 Utrecht 14 7 2 5 +7 23
5 Vitesse 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Willem II 13 7 1 5 -2 22
7 Heerenveen 13 5 6 2 +6 21
8 Heracles 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Groningen 13 6 2 5 +3 20
10 Feyenoord 13 5 5 3 +1 20
11 Twente 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 -2 16
13 Zwolle 14 4 1 9 -11 13
14 FC Emmen 13 4 1 8 -12 13
15 For Sittard 14 3 3 8 -16 12
16 Den Haag 13 3 1 9 -9 10
17 VVV Venlo 13 3 0 10 -25 9
18 Waalwijk 13 1 1 11 -22 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Willem II
12′
F. Heerkens 0–1
T. Haye 🔁
↦ D. Bakker
34′
39′
V. Pavlidis 0–2
M. Köhlert
Half-time 0–2
E. Falkenburg 🔁
↦ E. Hooi
46′
1–2 T. Necid
C. Summerville
49′
50′
🟨 Pol Llonch
54′
🔁 M. Vrousai
↦ M. Köhlert
A. Bjelica 🔁
↦ D. Muringen
55′
55′
V. Pavlidis 1–3
M. Vrousai
60′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ D. Saddiki
78′
🔁 J. Quiñónez
↦ M. Nelom
2–3 T. Necid
J. Goossens
83′
3–3 J. Goossens
88′
John Goossens 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
19 S. Pinas D
15 D. Muringen D
10 L. Immers M
11 J. Goossens M
17 D. Bakker M
9 T. Necid F
77 E. Hooi F
14 C. Summerville F
Bench (10)
20 T. Haye
30 E. Falkenburg
3 A. Bjelica
7 B. Ould-Chikh
18 M. Havekotte
6 D. Gorter
23 P. Cibicki
21 M. Rieder
22 R. Zwinkels
29 M. Kramer

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
18 M. Nelom D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 S. Holmén D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Ndayishimiye M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
16 M. Vrousai
26 B. Nieuwkoop
28 J. Quiñónez
33 R. Zuijderwijk
9 P. Gladon
27 V. van den Bogert
13 G. Strezos
24 J. McGarry
36 C. van den Berg
14 E. Kabangu

Coach: A. Koster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U ✓
3,66
B
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.