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Eredivisie
Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom
Willem II
T S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,5
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
40%
90%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,4
3,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 7. · Waalwijk 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 8 2 0 +24 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +17 23
3 Vitesse 10 7 2 1 +9 23
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 +13 20
5 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Heerenveen 10 4 4 2 +5 16
7 Willem II 10 5 1 4 -2 16
8 Twente 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 +0 15
10 Heracles 10 4 3 3 -1 15
11 Feyenoord 10 3 5 2 +1 14
12 Groningen 10 4 1 5 +0 13
13 Zwolle 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 FC Emmen 11 3 1 7 -10 10
15 VVV Venlo 10 3 0 7 -14 9
16 Den Haag 10 2 0 8 -10 6
17 For Sittard 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 -22 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Waalwijk
1–0 F. Heerkens
M. Ndayishimiye
11′
2–0 Pol Llonch
14′
20′
S. Elbers 2–1
S. Bakari
Half-time 2–1
63′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ A. Tahiri
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
66′
67′
🟨 Stanley Elbers
67′
🔁 D. Maatsen
↦ S. Elbers
J. Quiñónez 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
74′
77′
🔁 M. Meulensteen
↦ D. Rienstra
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
81′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 S. Holmén D
26 B. Nieuwkoop D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Ndayishimiye M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
15 D. Dankerlui
28 J. Quiñónez
9 P. Gladon
33 R. Zuijderwijk
27 V. van den Bogert
12 M. Woud
24 J. McGarry
14 E. Kabangu
32 D. Ryan
13 G. Strezos

Coach: A. Koster

Waalwijk

4-3-3
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Gaari D
4 H. Delcroix D
12 H. Mulder
6 D. Rienstra M
23 C. Leemans M
10 S. Spierings M
8 A. Tahiri F
28 S. Bakari D
17 S. Elbers F
24 D. Vente
Bench (10)
19 S. Sow
11 D. Maatsen
3 M. Meulensteen
13 K. Heemskerk
14 H. Drost
22 M. Grim
16 I. van Weert
21 L. Daneels
20 K. Vermeulen
29 F. Sporkslede

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,48
B
6,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bernie Raymond Blom · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.