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Eredivisie
Referee: Marc Nagtegaal
VVV Venlo
T T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
75%
81%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,4
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 15. · Zwolle 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 16 13 2 1 +38 41
2 AZ Alkmaar 16 12 2 2 +30 38
3 Willem II 17 10 2 5 +5 32
4 PSV Eindhoven 16 9 4 3 +18 31
5 Heerenveen 17 7 6 4 +7 27
6 Utrecht 16 8 2 6 +7 26
7 Heracles 16 7 4 5 +7 25
8 Feyenoord 16 6 7 3 +2 25
9 Vitesse 16 7 3 6 +2 24
10 Groningen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
11 Sparta Rotterdam 16 5 5 6 -4 20
12 Twente 16 5 4 7 -5 19
13 FC Emmen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
14 For Sittard 16 4 3 9 -20 15
15 VVV Venlo 16 5 0 11 -23 15
16 Den Haag 17 3 4 10 -13 13
17 Zwolle 16 4 1 11 -15 13
18 Waalwijk 16 2 2 12 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Zwolle
11′
K. Paal 0–1
L. Thy
24′
P. Clement 0–2
T. Lam
34′
🟨 Kenneth Paal
Half-time 0–2
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ H. Wright
46′
68′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ M. van Duinen
A. Bastiaans 🔁
↦ E. Soriano
74′
1–2 A. Bastiaans
J. Sinclair
77′
81′
🔁 S. Kersten
↦ R. Dekker
S. van Dijck 🔁
↦ R. Janssen
83′
88′
🔁 S. van Wermeskerken
↦ V. van Crooij
90′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 T. Pachonik D
10 J. Opoku M
8 P. van Ooijen M
21 E. Linthorst M
9 E. Soriano F
15 J. Sinclair F
7 H. Wright F
Bench (11)
19 J. Yeboah
25 A. Bastiaans
26 S. van Dijck
18 S. Scheimann
23 Y. Roemer
20 D. van Bruggen
17 T. Dekker
16 D. van Crooij
24 S. Janssen
30 J. Craenmehr
5 S. Schäfer

Coach: J. Driessen

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. Zetterer G
29 D. Lachman D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
19 R. Dekker M
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer D
30 D. Huiberts M
10 L. Thy F
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (11)
17 D. Johnsen
15 S. Kersten
31 S. van Wermeskerken
6 M. Saymak
20 T. Bruns
40 M. Hauptmeijer
1 X. Mous
4 Y. Nakayama
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
11 I. Bel Hassani
47 D. Bajselmani

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,61
B ✓
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.