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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
PSV Eindhoven
U T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
63%
30%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
60%
57%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Heerenveen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 4 2 +72 79
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 19 7 4 +35 64
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 19 7 5 +28 64
4 Vitesse 31 18 6 7 +19 60
5 Feyenoord 29 15 8 6 +28 53
6 Utrecht 29 13 9 7 +11 48
7 Groningen 30 13 6 11 +0 45
8 Heracles 31 12 6 13 -6 42
9 For Sittard 31 12 4 15 -6 40
10 Sparta Rotterdam 30 11 6 13 -3 39
11 Twente 31 9 10 12 -2 37
12 Heerenveen 30 9 10 11 -3 37
13 Zwolle 31 8 11 12 -7 35
14 Waalwijk 31 6 8 17 -20 26
15 Willem II 31 6 7 18 -30 25
16 FC Emmen 31 5 9 17 -30 24
17 VVV Venlo 31 6 4 21 -42 22
18 Den Haag 31 3 10 18 -44 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen
22′
🟨 Rodney Kongolo
34′
T. Halilović 0–1
I. Dresevic
Nick Viergever 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
A. Obispo 🔁
↦ N. Viergever
46′
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ P. Rosario
46′
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ E. Zahavi
46′
1–1 Y. Vertessen
P. Max
57′
2–1 C. Gakpo
M. Götze
58′
59′
S. de Jong 2–2
L. Schöne
69′
🔁 S. van Ottele
↦ R. Kongolo
69′
🔁 P. Bochniewicz
↦ R. Kaib
73′
🔁 R. Smit
↦ S. de Jong
Cody Gakpo 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 Sherel Floranus
90′
🟨 Rein Smit
M. van Ginkel 🔁
↦ M. Götze
90′
90′
🔁 S. Dewaele
↦ L. Schöne
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-2-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
4 N. Viergever D
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli D
33 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
6 I. Sangaré M
18 P. Rosario M
7 E. Zahavi F
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo M
Bench (8)
24 A. Obispo
53 Y. Vertessen
23 N. Madueke
14 M. van Ginkel
13 L. Unnerstall
11 A. Fein
21 M. Delanghe
29 J. Piroe

Coach: R. Schmidt

Heerenveen

5-3-2
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
2 S. Floranus D
14 I. Dresevic D
41 R. Kaib D
3 J. van Hecke D
43 L. Schöne M
6 S. de Jong F
44 T. Halilović M
21 R. Kongolo M
11 M. van Bergen F
Bench (11)
42 S. van Ottele
25 P. Bochniewicz
26 R. Smit
15 S. Dewaele
17 R. Hajal
10 O. Batista-Meier
8 B. Nygren
16 A. van der Heide
23 J. Bekkema
22 A. Harush
18 H. Akujobi

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,26
U ✓
6,10
B
9,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,33
U2,5
3,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.