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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Willem II
T S T T S
2–1
Full-time
For Sittard
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
58%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
61%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 15. · For Sittard 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 27 4 2 +77 85
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 21 8 4 +39 71
3 AZ Alkmaar 33 20 8 5 +29 68
4 Vitesse 33 18 7 8 +16 61
5 Feyenoord 31 15 9 7 +25 54
6 Utrecht 31 13 11 7 +11 50
7 Groningen 32 14 7 11 +4 49
8 Heracles 33 12 8 13 -6 44
9 Sparta Rotterdam 32 12 7 13 +0 43
10 For Sittard 33 12 5 16 -7 41
11 Heerenveen 33 9 12 12 -5 39
12 Twente 33 9 11 13 -3 38
13 Zwolle 33 8 11 14 -10 35
14 Waalwijk 33 7 9 17 -19 30
15 Willem II 33 7 7 19 -29 28
16 FC Emmen 33 6 9 18 -32 27
17 VVV Venlo 33 6 5 22 -44 23
18 Den Haag 33 4 10 19 -46 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II For Sittard
Pol Llonch 🟨
39′
45′
🟨 Zian Flemming
1–0 V. Pavlidis
M. Trésor
45′
Half-time 1–1
48′
Z. Flemming 1–1
S. Polter
Vangelis Pavlidis 🟨
57′
66′
🔁 E. Hansson
↦ C. Essers
2–1 S. Holmén
C. Nunnely
67′
M. Köhlert 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
71′
L. Selahi 🔁
↦ Pol Llonch
71′
71′
🔁 T. Verlinden
↦ T. Tekie
F. Heerkens 🔁
↦ D. Saddiki
85′
W. Spieringhs 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
85′
89′
🔁 M. van Beijnen
↦ R. Janssen
89′
🔁 S. Moutoussamy
↦ M. Seuntjens
J. Peters 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
49 A. Murić G
25 S. Holmén D
32 S. van Beek D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Trésor M
20 K. Wriedt F
10 V. Pavlidis F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
11 M. Köhlert
30 L. Selahi
3 F. Heerkens
43 W. Spieringhs
4 J. Peters
46 J. van den Avert
23 G. Sağlam
26 J. Brondeel
16 R. Zuijderwijk
24 C. van den Berg

Coach: Ž. Petrović

For Sittard

4-3-3
1 Y. van Osch G
5 R. Janssen D
2 M. Angha D
12 C. Essers D
35 G. Cox D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Tekie M
9 S. Polter F
7 Lisandro Semedo F
8 Z. Flemming M
Bench (12)
11 E. Hansson
55 T. Verlinden
18 M. van Beijnen
27 S. Moutoussamy
22 P. Velthuizen
44 L. Rota
40 J. Wehking
24 N. El Ablak
20 A. Kastrati
33 L. George
17 D. Emmanouilidis
21 G. Amiot

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
4,14
B
3,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.