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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Ajax
S S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

72% Possession 28%
25 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 0
6 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Apr -17 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–5 20. Nov -16 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 13. Mar -16 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 23. Aug -15 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–2

Match report

Ajax Nijmegen
1–0 S. Haller ⚽
N. Mazraoui
6′
2–0 N. Mazraoui ⚽
D. Tadić
10′
2–1 B. van Rooij ⚽
own goal
14′
3–1 D. Tadić ⚽
20′
25′
🔁 É. Barreto
↦ M. Mattsson
4–1 D. Tadić ⚽
S. Berghuis
39′
Half-time 4–1
David Neres 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
58′
D. Rensch 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
58′
66′
🔁 A. Akman
↦ J. Bruijn
Z. Labyad 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
76′
V. Jensen 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
76′
80′
🔁 I. Bronkhorst
↦ J. Okita
80′
🔁 J. Vet
↦ L. Schöne
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ajax

4-2-3-1
1 M. Stekelenburg G
17 D. Blind D
12 N. Mazraoui D
4 E. Álvarez M
21 L. Martínez D
2 J. Timber D
6 D. Klaassen M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić M
23 S. Berghuis M
22 S. Haller F
Bench (10)
7 David Neres
15 D. Rensch
19 Z. Labyad
26 V. Jensen
32 R. Pasveer
35 Y. Baas
42 A. Martha
18 J. Ekkelenkamp
28 L. Magallán
16 J. Gorter

Coach: E. ten Hag

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
1 M. Branderhorst G
4 Iván Márquez D
26 C. Odenthal D
16 S. El Karouani D
28 B. van Rooij D
20 L. Schöne M
6 J. Bruijn F
14 M. Duelund M
11 M. Mattsson M
71 D. Proper M
10 J. Okita M
Bench (12)
8 É. Barreto
9 A. Akman
2 I. Bronkhorst
15 J. Vet
22 J. van der Sluijs
31 R. Roefs
27 D. Vuković
70 K. Bukusu
23 T. Beekman
7 E. Tavşan
17 O. Romeny
5 Rodrigo Guth

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,08
🔒
U
10,65
🔒
B
27,08
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,28
🔒
U2,5
3,60
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.