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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Ajax

S S S S U

5–0

Full-time

Vitesse

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

3,2

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

72% Possession 28%

29 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 6. · Vitesse 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
7	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Waalwijk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Twente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-5	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.