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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
4–0
Full-time
Heracles
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
86%
86%
Both score Ø 86%
71%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,6
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,67 xG 1,80
38% Possession 62%
22 Shots 17
13 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 9
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 8. · Heracles 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 +21 +16.1 21
2 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 +17 +8.1 19
3 Twente 7 6 0 1 +10 +4.9 18
4 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 +20 +16.2 17
5 Excelsior 7 3 3 1 +3 -1.5 12
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 2 2 +1 -0.6 11
7 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 -3.9 11
8 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 1 3 -2 -7.9 10
9 For Sittard 7 2 3 2 -4 +0.5 9
10 Nijmegen 8 2 2 4 -2 -7.2 8
11 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -5 +1.5 7
12 Heerenveen 8 2 1 5 -8 -5.1 7
13 Almere City 8 2 1 5 -11 -3.7 7
14 Vitesse 7 2 0 5 -5 -3.8 6
15 Waalwijk 7 2 0 5 -9 -0.7 6
16 Ajax 5 1 2 2 -3 -1.1 5
17 Volendam 7 1 1 5 -9 -3.6 4
18 Utrecht 8 1 0 7 -13 -8.1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Heracles
7′
🟨 Anas Ouahim
1–0 W. Willumsson
P. Rommens
13′
2–0 V. Edvardsen
16′
Half-time 2–0
47′
🟨 Emil Hansson
S. Sow 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
56′
J. Breum 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
56′
3–0 S. Sow
62′
63′
🔁 M. Engels
↦ B. Limbombe
63′
🔁 A. Satriano
↦ M. Sankoh
70′
🔁 R. Roosken
↦ J. Willems
70′
🔁 S. Scheperman
↦ M. Vejinović
77′
🔁 L. Wehmeyer
↦ A. Ouahim
T. Baeten 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
78′
E. Llansana 🔁
↦ V. Edvardsen
78′
4–0 B. Kuipers
W. Willumsson
83′
R. Fernandes 🔁
↦ W. Willumsson
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
11 B. Adekanye M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (10)
9 S. Sow
29 J. Breum
32 T. Baeten
21 E. Llansana
7 R. Fernandes
22 E. Mulder
28 P. Saathof
15 D. James
33 N. Verdoni
17 Darío Serra

Coach: R. Hake

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 M. Brouwer G
19 N. Bakboord D
35 S. Bultman D
21 J. Hoogma D
15 J. Willems D
18 M. Vejinović M
14 B. De Keersmaecker M
7 B. Limbombe M
10 A. Ouahim M
29 E. Hansson M
44 M. Sankoh F
Bench (12)
8 M. Engels
9 A. Satriano
12 R. Roosken
32 S. Scheperman
39 L. Wehmeyer
24 A. Nankishi
28 R. Jalving
4 S. Sonnenberg
6 S. Čestić
30 D. van Oorschot
16 F. de Keijzer
3 J. Wieckhoff

Coach: J. Lammers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,98
B
4,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.